Monday, July 1, 2013

Durham Bulls Pitching and Pitchers


Last night’s game got rained out and the double-header scheduled to start today at 5:30 does not look promising. Looking out my window some of the local critters are lining up two-by-two and marching off in the direction that guy down the block who’s been building that big boat …

The break gives me a chance to update some of my pitching/pitcher charts.

The Bulls pitching crew has been subject to considerable turmoil this year. An outrageous 42 of the roster transactions to date have involved pitchers (so far — the day is young). Nevertheless, when you look at the team over the last 15 games we have a nice downward trend in ERA (and won 9 of the 15). There is a spread between the starters and relievers, but it’s only about ⅓ run per game and almost entirely with the middle relief crew (and the Bulls have had to go with two “bullpen” games in the period).

Click on any of these to get a larger, more legible version.



It seems odd to have to warn about small sample size at this point in the baseball year, but here it is. Some of these guys really don't have much time with the Bulls. Every pitcher on this list that’s on the Tampa Bay 40-man has been with the Rays. One of them, Alexander Torres, is still there. Not sure when or if he’s coming back, but I left him on for the moment.


The ERAs below are pretty good, Lueke and Yates are exceptional and their combined 17 saves says a lot about why the Bulls have done well this year. Will Inman has had some physical problems, as has Mike Montgomery. Pretty sure that Montgomery is settling down. Not so sure about Inman. But very hard to tell.



The WHIPs of the crew are mostly pretty good as well. Obviously Liberatore and Inman are worrisome. A new guy,  C. J. Riefenhauser, just came up from Montgomery. He may balance things out. Not sure why either Inman or Liberatore didn’t go to Montgomery instead of Sandoval. Probably just another instance of my not understanding minor league contractual concerns very well.



Sunday, June 30, 2013

Nice Recovery From a Long Trip


Game 83, June 29, DBAP
Durham Bulls 3, Columbus Clippers 1
Season: 51-32
Wrap, Box, Herald-Sun

Regular Durham Bulls fans know something unusual is happening when catcher Craig Albernaz is in the lineup as the designated hitter. In five seasons as a professional baseball player, this was his first appearance in the DH role. Why? Well, down in St Petersburg Evan Longoria had an ouchie and Ryan Roberts was called up just in case. Charlie Montoyo had only two position players left to choose from, both of them catchers, for the DH slot. Albie got the call.

Meanwhile, Jake Odorizzi started out with four innings of terrific pitching (4 base runners); two more of pretty darn good pitching; and started out the 7th inning looking a bit tired. Josh Lueke came in to complete the 7th and 8th. Kirby Yates closed it out.

This year’s Durham Bulls are good at small ball and it showed in the critical 3rd and 4th innings. Single, double, single in the 3rd put two runs up. Single, stolen base, ground out moving runner to 3B, single bringing him home in the 4th.

Personally, I like that kind of baseball, so it was a good night for me.

To be honest, I expected less and was pleased to see more. The Bulls played a double header on Friday night; got on a bus for an overnight run to Durham, arriving at 8:00 in the morning; and they were on the field for a 7:07 first pitch.

Outside the game —
  • We were surprised to hear Juan Sandoval was off to Montgomery in exchange for LHP C.J. Riefenhauser. Don’t know a much about Riefenhauser except that his name in hard to type and he’s got a stunning 0.51 ERA over 53 innings in 20 appearances this year. Stats. Needs AAA time?
  • Well, sort of outside the game … The a cappella group Cognitive Resonance, who performed the National Anthem last night, was simply superb, one of the very best we here at WDBB have ever heard. Kudos to them and to the person on the Bulls staff who picked them to perform. Bring ‘em back!
  • Former Bull Stephen Vogt got his very first major league hit the other night. For the A’s. A home run. Congratulations! Cool video at Rays Index.
  • Check out the photo of Reid Brignac on his new team’s roster (the Colorado Sky Sox)

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Matchup: Bulls v. Clippers


This could be a tough night for the Bulls. First they lose both games in a double-header, then they’ve had a long bus ride home from Allentown. On the other hand, Jake Odorizzi is starting. So could be interesting.

Matchup

The Bulls are playing the Columbus Clippers, who are not looking all that good this year. That is quite a change from recent years when the Clippers and the Bulls have had some tough contests, including one where the Clippers simply blew out the Bulls for the Governors’ Cup. This year, however, the Cleveland Indians Triple-A is a deep 16 ½ games behind the Indianapolis Indians in the International League west. So they have a long way to go to catch up. We’d prefer it not be at the Bulls expense.



Friday, June 28, 2013

Rainout; Hitters Reviewed

First, a look at the last two games ...






Wrap, Box, Allentown Morning Call






Wrap, Box, Allentown Morning Call

Season: 50-30; Trip: 3-3

Merrill Kelly apparently looked awfully good in Tuesday's game and Matt Buschmann was a bit shaky in Wednesday's outing. The bullpen stepped up and the hitters kept scrambling. Two very nice wins.

A double-header is set up to try to makeup last night's rainout. Storms are predicted for tonight, so it will be a matter of timing. We can hope they get to play, otherwise the Bulls season will be shortened by two games. That's the way in works in the IL.

By the way, Reid Brignac has been re-signed by the Colorado Rockies. This time it's to a minor league deal. He'll be playing AAA ball in Colorado Springs. [Thanks to Rays Index for the heads up].

It's been almost a month since we last looked at Bulls hitters. The two huge changes are the departures of Wil Myers and Rich Thompson. Thompson had been coming back from a bad start. Myers, of course, was coming into his own. The change column goes back to May 28. Vince Belnome has obviously fallen off a bit, but his wRAA and wOBA are still very, very solid numbers. Nice to see Brandon Guyer moving up. I'd thought that Tim Beckham was improving, but doesn't look like it. And I thought the same about Jason Bourgeois. By the way, Bourgeois has not been moved to the DL, so maybe he will be back. He was reported to have a hamstring problem that took him out of Wednesday's game.



PlayerAgePAAVGOPSwRAAwOBAChange
Vince Belnome
25
298
.340
.954
21.9
.425
-.020
Leslie Anderson
31
286
.316
.907
16.3
.404
.025
Brandon Guyer
27
289
.289
.808
7.2
.364
.016
Cole Figueroa
26
275
.291
.742
1.5
.340
.023
Mike Fontenot
33
254
.263
.736
0.5
.336
.001
Shelley Duncan
33
169
.223
.753
0.3
.335
-.004
Chris Gimenez
30
173
.246
.688
0
.333
-.016
Tim Beckham
23
280
.272
.720
-1.8
.325
-.003
Jason Bourgeois
31
292
.288
.717
-2.4
.323
-.038
Juan Apodaca
26
97
.238
.690
-0.9
.321
.030
Ryan Roberts
32
31
.296
.688
-0.4
.319
NA
Craig Albernaz
30
81
.246
.616
-3
.288
-.001
Jesus Flores
28
51
.188
.506
-4.1
.234
NA



Tuesday, June 25, 2013

All About the Iron Pigs - Guest Post


As near as I can figure there are only three fan blogs in all of minor league baseball. (I could be wrong. That’s happened once or twice. Let me know if I am.) One of them is Bacon and Biscuits the child of Matt Creedon and it follows the Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs and another team that plays an obscure game that involves wacking stuff around on ice. The Bulls went 2 and 2 in a four games series against the Iron Pigs at the DBAP back in early May.

As the Bulls roll into the Lehigh Valley, here’s Matt’s take on where the Phillies Triple-A franchise is this year.

***************************

The IronPigs came into the season with the youngest roster that they have had in their six seasons in the Lehigh Valley. The average age of the Opening Day roster was about 26.5 years old and six of the Phillies’ top ten prospects started the year as Pigs (3 are still on the team, 2 are on the DL, and Jonathan Pettibone is in the Phillies rotation). There were also a number of players who contributed to the Phillies in 2012 (Tyler Cloyd, Joe Savery, Justin De Fratus, Pete Orr, etc.) who weren’t necessarily considered prospects (or at least in the top ten) that made the Opening Day squad. Because of that there was a lot of excitement and high expectations around the team back in April. There was also some concern that the team might struggle early and that proved to be the case.

The Pigs lost four of their first six games (all at home) and finished April at 10-15. In their last 12 April games they went 3-9 including being swept in four games at home by Buffalo. Along the way there were very few transactions which is rare considering the shape the Phillies were/are in and the simple fact that this is Triple-A. So it was concerning that the team played poorly despite all the promising pieces being in place for the entire first month.

May started off kind of shaky, but after the 3-5 road trip through your place and Norfolk, the Pigs really stepped it up at home, a place they have played very well at over the past few seasons, but did not through the first month and a half. Starting on May 18 - which oddly enough was my first game of the season. I guess I’ll take some credit – the Pigs won 8 of their next 9 home games and ended the month one game over .500 at 15-14 (25-29 overall).

They haven’t slowed down a bit at home since. In June they have won 8 of their 11 home games, which means that since May 18th they are 16-4 at Coca-Cola Park. The result is a 40-36 overall record and a half game lead in the Wild Card race. It might not sound that impressive, but they have come a long way. They just need to learn how to win on the road.

The team’s performance aside, one guy who has been good all season is 23-year-old 2B Cesar Hernandez. He hit .375 in April and continued to hit well over .300 for much of the first two months. He’s down to .296, but he still has a team-high 21 steals and IL-high 7 triples. Cesar also got some time with the Phillies when Michael Young went on bereavement leave (May 29th) and stuck with the team for two weeks. He’s back and hitting .263 in his last ten games.

22-year-old 3B Cody Asche is leading the team in RBI with 44, hits with 77, and games with 72. He has been very good offensively and defensively and figures to be the Phillies 3B next season (and hopefully long afterwards).

LF/1B Darin “Babe” Ruf had a chance to make the Phillies out of Spring Training, but wasn’t well adjusted enough in LF to make the team. They moved Ruf to the outfield after he hit 38 home runs with Reading (AA) last year. That broke Ryan Howard’s single-season record at Reading. Howard is of course blocking him at 1B. He’s 26 and wasn’t really on anyone’s radar until that power surge last season. After a slow start he’s starting to put things together. Overall he’s at .269, 7 HR, and 38 RBI and batting in the cleanup spot nightly. In the field he has done just fine and maybe even a little better than that. There’s still lots of talk on Philly sports radio about bringing him up, but he will be a Pig for the foreseeable future. You’ll probably see him in LF and at 1B during the upcoming series. He plays 1B about three times a week.

Catching has been a revolving door and arguably the Pigs’ biggest weakness. #3 prospect Tommy Joseph (acquired in last July’s Hunter Pence deal) started the season behind the plate, but landed on the DL with a concussion on May 9th. It turned out that it wasn’t his first. He was just about back, but after five games with Clearwater (High-A) he went back on the DL last Wednesday. That’s one of those situations where you start to really worry about the guy’s future. He’s only 21.

With Joseph out the Pigs have had Humberto Quintero, John Suomi, Steven Lerud, and Cameron Rupp (another prospect just promoted from Double-A) at catcher. Lerud and Rupp are on the roster right now.

1B Cody Overbeck is quietly having another good season for the Pigs. With a team-high 13 HR, he has moved into 2nd place on the IronPigs career HR list (jumped ahead of Phillies OF John Mayberry, Jr. – behind former Pigs 1B and current Phils Minor League Hitting Coordinator Andy Tracy).

OF Steve Susdorf and DH Josh Fields are having great seasons with .326 and .321 averages respectively (top two avg. on team). OF Leandro Castro will likely miss the Durham series after injuring his hand on the recent road trip. He was a valuable piece in the lineup and for what it’s worth, is leading my blog’s Pig of the Year competition. OF Jermaine Mitchell has been a good leadoff hitter.

Pitching-wise the most recent game notes say you will face Raul Valdes, Tom Cochran, Tyler Cloyd, and then possibly Carlos Zambrano (yes, the Carlos Zambrano). Valdes (2-2, 3.41) started the year in the Phils bullpen and was optioned mid-May. He’s had only two bad starts out of 7 total. He’s done well enough, but he should be in the bullpen. Cochran (3-2, 4.68) came up from Reading (AA) in early May and has won 3 of his first 4 starts in June. He’s been better after a bad start.

Cloyd (1-6, 7.69) is nowhere near the IL Pitcher of the Year that he was last season. He has been hammered in his two starts since being optioned by the Phillies (where, oddly enough, he didn’t do too badly) to the tune of 13 runs over 9.2 IP. In those two starts he has given up five home runs.

Zambrano (1-0, 3.18) may or may not pitch Friday. He has an opt-out clause on July 1st if the Phillies do not call him up. He has started 3 games for the Pigs and posted a 7 inning shutout at Toledo last Tuesday. He’s looked decent enough, but with Pettibone (only 22) holding his own in the Phils rotation, Z’s future is up in the air. If it were me I would not option Pettibone in favor of Zambrano. The Phils are rebuilding and Pettibone will play a role in the future team. Zambrano won’t.

Bullpen. We just lost J.C. Ramirez and Phillippe Aumont to the Phillies due to injuries. We’ve yet to get a replacement for either as of Monday morning. We have a closer by committee for the time being since Jake Diekman was called up. Lefty Mauricio Robles is the most likely candidate and hits the mid-90s with his fastball. RHP Justin Friend has been very, very good lately in middle relief. Greg Smith and Zach Miner are long men.

As for the rest of the season, I believe the IronPigs have enough talent to make the playoffs. That being said, I have to put out the disclaimer that this is Triple-A and the Phillies might be moving a number of pieces in the coming month. The Pigs could lose that talent and miss the playoffs. But I’m holding out hope…for the entire organization.

************

Thanks, Matt!

One Out of Four, Move On






Wrap, Box, Bisons






Wrap, Box, Buffalo News





Wrap, Box, Buffalo News






Season: 48-30; Trip: 1-3
Wrap, Box, Bisons

The Bulls outhit the Bisons in every game, 37-26 overall, and actually outscored them over the series 12 runs to 11, but lost 3 out of 4 games. How did that happen? Mostly, they just couldn’t get their runners across. Nevertheless, none of these games were blowouts and mostly we what we saw was some weakness in the bullpen. No real surprise there.

How is Charlie handling his outfield puzzle (remember, he’s only got two outfielders on the roster)? Of the regulars (that would be Jason Bourgeois and Brandon Guyer), Bourgeois played in 3 of 4 games and pinch ran late in the fourth game; Guyer also started in 3 of 4 games and pinch ran in a fourth. Playing the third outfielder? That was Leslie Anderson (2 starts) and Cole Figueroa (2 starts).

In a larger sense, it’s hard to complain about the pitching except for the bullpen’s blowup in the second game of the series. Might as well make my token complaint about having to go with yet another "bullpen day" (using a crew of relievers when no starter available) in this series. The Bulls had two of those in June and lost both.

Mike Montgomery went seven innings and did well. That will certainly help folks recover from the previous night’s marathon.

Have to note that the Bison’s Ricky Romero can’t seem to get the ball across the plate against the Bulls. He had 5 BBs in 3 ⅓ innings last night. And back on May 27 in Durham he gave up 3 BBs in the ⅔ inning that he pitched.

Jason Bourgeois had a terrific night with two hits, two RBI and a stolen base, his 19th. Brandon Guyer led off and did his job by getting on base 3 out of 5 times, scoring every time, and picking up an RBI. His batting average is up to .283 now and, even better, his advanced stats are up there just behind Vince Belnome’s and Leslie Anderson’s. The Bulls need that.

Outside the game —
  • Pitcher Steve Geltz is from the Buffalo area and got a nice story about him while the Bulls were there.
  • Former Bull Reid Brignac was designated for assignment by the Yankees. He has cleared waivers, but no word if he has been picked up by another team. May end up as a free agent.
  • Couple of interesting photos from the most recent Bark in the Park event.

Friday, June 21, 2013

Figueroa Debuts in Left, and More ...






Season: 47-27; Home Stand: 6-2
Wrap, Box, Herald-Sun

The last home stand the Durham Bulls went 7-1, this home stand they went 6-2. This is one terrific baseball team. I you haven’t seen them play you’ve missed something.

Last night’s game was, however, a bit different from many in that it was a very low-scoring affair. Overall, the Bulls scored 46 runs over the last 8 games (compared to their opponents’ 28). Even with the one-game anomaly of the 16-3 win last Monday, the Bulls are a hot team. They dominate the South Division, leading Norfolk by 9 games and are playing very good baseball.

Last night was also an interesting look at Matt Buschmann. It was his fifth appearance as a Bull and he did a good job. I worry about him mostly because he sure works hard. It took him 96 pitches for him to get through five innings last night. Compare that to J.D. Martin’s seven inning, 93 pitch performance the other day. On the other hand, he didn’t let a single run score. His ERA over these 22+ innings is a beautiful 1.59 and he’s got a nice low WHIP of 1.19. So it looks like Buschmann and his fellow newcomer Merrill Kelly will help the Bulls get through the second half of the season.

Another positive sign on the pitching front was a solid 3 innings by Juan Sandoval. A couple of short, ugly appearances early in June are messing up his stats, but if he keeps this up, he’s in for a good season.

The Bulls missed a lot of scoring opportunities last night. If they’d lost the game I’m sure we’d be wringing our hands over that. But they didn’t, so we won’t. Vince Belnome's first (of two) double set the stage to be batted in on Shelley Duncan’s single. New guy Ryan Roberts' first hit as a Durham Bull let Brandon Guyer show off his speed as he scored the winning run from first base. By the way, Belnome’s 21 doubles leads the Durham Bulls and he’s #2 in the International League.

Meanwhile, out in left field we saw Cole Figueroa catch a fly ball in the 6th inning in his new role as an outfielder. In his 532 games as a professional ballplayer he has played in the outfield exactly one time (last night, stats). That would be 0.19% of his pro career. Over in right field we had catcher Chris Gimenez. Gimenez has quite a bit of experience moving around without all his catching gear on. He’s played about half of his pro games as a catcher and the rest at 3B, 1B, and the outfield. Nevertheless, without some rosterification this road trip will be a challenge. There are only two regular outfielders on the current roster (Bourgeois and Guyer) and they need rest from time to time. And no other park has a short, Blue Monster-like outfield wall.

Outside the game —
  • Catcher Juan Apodaca was moved off the Bulls roster to the Princeton Rays. It was likely to make room for Ryan Roberts. I couldn’t see into the dugout to see if it a real move or if it was just on paper. The Princeton, West Virginia team is Rookie level and has just begun their season. My guess is that Apodaca is still around.
Matchup

The Blue Jays' Triple-A team, the Buffalo Bisons, were in Durham at the end of May. The Bulls swept them 4-0. The team is a poster child for the importance of pitching. As the table shows they aren't all that much worse than the Bulls in hitting, but there’s a big spread in pitching (and much of that apparently in starting pitching). Recently they lost 3 out of 4 to Gwinnett.